Republican Will Fall Short of 40% in OH-12

The Republican candidate will not win Ohio's 12th congressional district by 40% or more on November 3, 2026. Troy Balderson, the incumbent who has been in office since 2018 and is serving his 5th term, will fail to turn his prior 37.0% victory into a 40% plus blowout, and the 30.0% House margin rep…