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SPD will win 22-25 seats in the Landtag on September 20, 2026. That haul will mark a sharp drop from the SPD's 2021 result of 34 seats with a 39.6% vote share and will land below the August 1 Nowcast that projected 3 direct mandates and 24 list seats. The July 9 Infratest dimap poll that put SPD at…