Bolsonaro Will Fail to Finish Second in First Round

Jair Bolsonaro will not finish in second place in the first round of Brazil's October 4, 2026 presidential election. Current polling shows Lula leading the first round in Genial/Quaest simulations with 39% while Flávio Bolsonaro stands at 29% in the same simulation, and the June CNT/MDA survey of 2…