NM-02 will stay a tight race under 15 percent

The Democratic candidate will not win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 15 to 20 percent. The race will remain competitive and likely finish well inside that threshold, leaving Gabe Vasquez's bid for a third term closer to his 4.2 percent 2024 edge when he tallied 138,177 votes against 127,145. Cook…