US GDP will fall short of 2.5% in 2026

US real GDP will come in at 2.5% or below for 2026, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will report in its Q4 2026 Advance Estimate to be released in January 2027. The BEA will show the full-year real GDP growth rate as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026, an…