Tlaib will fall short of a 40 to 45 point win

Rashida Tlaib will not win Michigan's 12th Congressional District on November 3, 2026 by 40 to 45 percentage points. Even with the district rated Solid Democratic, the final margin will fall outside that bracket and will diverge from her 44.3-point 2024 margin when she had 69.7% and James Hooper ha…