Spencer will fail to win TX-01 by 40 to 45 points

The Republican candidate will not win the 2026 TX-01 race by 40 to 45 percentage points, and the final margin on November 3, 2026 will fall outside that band. Chris Spencer narrowly defeated Josh Bray in the March 3, 2026 Republican primary with 14,924 votes (50.86%) to 14,421 votes (49.14%), and h…