Republican Will Not Win NC-05 by 9 to 12 Points

The Republican candidate will not win the 2026 NC-05 House election by between 9% and 12% on November 3, 2026. The final result will fall outside that bracket even though Virginia Foxx has held the seat since 2005 and won the Republican primary on March 3, 2026. The October 2025 redistricting that…