Gruters Will Fall Short of a 9 to 12 Point Win

Sydney Gruters will fail to win the 2026 FL-16 House race by 9%-12%. The race will stay tighter than that band despite the district being an open seat after Vern Buchanan chose not to run, and despite Donald Trump having carried the district by 15 points in 2024. Recent polls showing R+3 to R+4 and…