Republican will fail to win MI-02 by 20-25%

A Republican will not win Michigan's 2nd District on November 3, 2026 by a 20 to 25 percentage point margin. That outcome will break from the scale of John Moolenaar's 33.4% 2024 victory and will undercut the district's 30.0% presidential gap recorded in 2024. It will also call the >95% Republican…