IA-01 will not hand Bohannan a 9 to 12 point win

The Democratic candidate will not win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 9 to 12 percentage points on November 3, 2026. The rematch between Christina Bohannan and incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks will end with a margin outside that band, preserving the razor-edge dynamics that followed Miller-Meeks…