Rogers will fail to hit a 55% to 60% margin

Hal Rogers will not win the 2026 KY-05 House election by a 55% to 60% margin on November 3, 2026. Despite the district's R+32 Cook PVI and Rogers' 77.4% Republican primary victory, the final margin will fall outside the 55% to 60% band. Ned Pillersdorf advanced from the Democratic primary uncontest…