Flávio Bolsonaro Falls Short of 42 to 45 Percent

Flávio Bolsonaro will not win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round on October 4, 2026. Polls will show reasons for caution as BTG/Nexus reports 37% in a 2,000-person survey and Datafolha reports 39% on the valid-vote basis while its raw intentions read 36% from 2,002 in-person i…