Ocasio‑Cortez will fail to win NY‑14 by 50% to 55%

Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez will not win the NY‑14 House race on November 3, 2026 by a margin of 50 percent to 55 percent of valid votes. The margin of victory is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second place candidates, so the final g…