Conley will beat Lawler by 6%-9% and flip the seat

Cait Conley will win NY-17 by 6%-9% on November 3, 2026. That result will flip the seat away from Republican incumbent Mike Lawler and reward Conley’s attacks on Lawler’s votes on Trump-backed policies and his relationship with President Donald Trump. An Emerson College poll from September 27-29 sh…